Multi-level political change: Assessing electoral volatility in 58 European regions (1993-2022)

Electoral Democracy and Political Representation in the European Union

This paper addresses two particular aspects of the much debated democratic deficit in EU governance – the capacity of parties at the European level to represent the will of the citizens of Europe, and the absence of a system of party government at the European level, whereby parties in the parliament lack the capacity to effectively control the governing bodies of the EU. We first evaluate the ...

ELECTORAL LAWS AS POLITICAL CONSEQUENCES: Explaining the Origins and Change of Electoral Institutions

■ Abstract In this review article, I identify the key questions raised by the treatment of electoral systems not as causal influences on party systems but as effects or byproducts of party systems. Framing these questions in the context of the classic consequences-oriented study of electoral institutions, I first review the classic approach, which treats electoral systems as causes, and explore...

Political equilibria with electoral uncertainty

After an election, when party positions and strengths are known, there may be a centrally located large party at the core position. Theory suggests that such a core party is able to form a minority government and control policy. In the absence of a core party, theory suggests that the outcome be a lottery associated with coalition risk. Stochastic models of elections typically indicate that all...

assessing political stability and instability in central asia and caucasus; case study, azerbaijan and kyrgyzstan

منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی وقفقاز به عنوان منطقه ای تاریخی و به دلیل دارا بودن ذخایر عظیم هیدرو کربنی از اهمیت ویژه ای برخوردار است. کشورهای این منطقه از عوامل عمده ی بی ثباتی نظیر عوامل جغرافیایی، اقتصادی، امنیتی، اجتماعی و سیاسی رنج می برند. پس از فروپاشی اتحاد جماهیر شوروی کشورهای منطقه از نعمت استقلال ناخواسته ای برخوردار شدند که مشکلات فوق را برای آن ها چندین برابر می کرد. در این روند برخی از این...

An approximation problem in computing electoral volatility